Saturday, March 31, 2012

Is This a False Start or Just a Weather Interruption?

After a somewhat promising start, with the weather change at the beginning of this week, the herring seem to have stopped their run.  The statistics compared to prior years is being thrown off a bit with this big temperature change.    We don't have access to real time local saltwater data prior to 2010, but we're tracking the data from 2010 on to see if we can start to make some correlations to temperature from this point forward.  We want to try to further correlate activity to temperature right at the Mill Pond location, to better understand for future projections.

A new Page has been added to show the Current Run and Year to Year Counts.  As has been done in the past, we will attempt to project the total count based on comparisons to previous years; however, with this interruption in the run, we have tabled this projection at this time.  

We want to thank all volunteer counters for their patience during this cold period.  For the last five days, no herring have been reported.   We are cautiously optimistic that when the weather improves the run will restart.  Thanks to all for your patience and your support in reporting temperatures even though no herring are observed.  We are hopeful that local temperature profiles will help us better project what the water conditions are during the run.

2 comments:

  1. Herring are back, I counted a total of six making it into the pond.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Hi Bob P,
    Thanks so much for your observations! If you look at the latest posting of the seawater temps, you will see that the Cotuit Bay temp briefly peaked above 51F at the times of your observations. It has since dropped off again, so we're guessing your fish were scouts, hopefully in advance of a larger pool.....

    ReplyDelete